The bird flu now active in parts of Southeast Asia will mutate to a strain that can spread from humans to humans. Although vaccines will be developed, atleast 10 million will die worldwide by end of 2007 due to unavailability of vaccine on time.
For this prediction to be true bird flu must claim at least 10 million human lives worldwide before 31 Dec 2007. The claim will be based on official figures published by the World Health Organisation on or before 1 March 2008.
IPO Information
100 shares of this prediction are available for purchase at 40 moolers each following Dutch rules.
Background: In June 2005, Iran and India signed a deal worth $22 bln for Tehran to supply five million tonnes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) annually over a 25-year period from 2009.
This prediction states that this deal will be successful, and neither Iran nor India will turn back on this deal. Iranian LNG will reach India by 31 Jan 2010.
This prediction will be assessed based on news reports appearing in the Indian Express on or before 31 Jan 2010. Prediction can be closed earlier if it occurs and is reported to the moderators.
IPO Information
150 shares of this prediction are available for purchase at 40 moolers each following Dutch rules.
Sania Mirza has reached heights previously unknown to current generation of Indians in World Sports. Her rise has however seen a fall recently, with first and second round losses in consecutive tournaments. Is it end of the ride or just a blip?
Will she make it (as in reach, not seeded) to the top 16 in the 2006 Austrailian Open?
Information available on the official website of Austrailian Open will be used for arbitration. The date of arbitration can be extended if matches are delayed and an outcome is not available by the present arbitration date.
IPO Information
100 shares of this prediction are available for purchase at 60 moolers each following Dutch rules.
Will Sri Sri Ravi Shankar win the Nobel Peace Prize for 2005?
Amongst the front runners for this year’s Nobel Peace Prize, is Sri Sri Ravi Shankar. Will he win it?
The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on October 7th in Norway. We will follow the official announcement at http://nobelprize.org/index.html.
IPO Information
200 shares of this prediction are available for purchase at 60 moolers each following Dutch rules.
Amol Palekar’s Paheli, India’s official entry for the 2006 Oscars, (see this link) will win the award for the best foreign film (or in any other category that it is nominated).
This prediction will be assessed based on reports appearing in the Indian Express appearing by 1 March 2006. This prediction may close earlier if it occurs and is reported to the moderators.
IPO Information
120 shares of this prediction are available for purchase at 50 moolers each following Dutch rules.
To turn a profit from your investments in prediction shares, you do not actually have to wait until the arbitration date. Of course if you do wait, and the prediction is successful, you will receive 100 moolers per share — but quite often, it is possible for you to turn a good profit by selling your shares before the arbitration date.
The simple rule is buy low and sell high — and since short selling is currently not permitted you must buy the shares first. But you can place a sell order (at a higher price) immediately after you have purchased your shares. The sale is completed automatically when another trader places a buy order at that price. You will be notified by email when a sale is completed.
For example: You can buy a share of PUBLICGYAN-14 at 48 moolers today and immediately place a sell order at say 78 moolers. If the market price of PUBLICGYAN-14 rises to 78 and there are buyers at that price, then your sell order is fulfilled. You earn 30 moolers!
The trick is to invest intelligently so that it does not go the other way around!
The United States and its allies will commence a overt military campaign against Iran this winter (ie Nov 2005 – Mar 2006).
This prediction will be assessed based on reports appearing on BBC News online on or before 2 April 2006. This prediction may close early if the event occurs and is reported to the moderators.
IPO Information
100 shares of this prediction (symbol: IRAN-WAR-05) are available for purchase at an initial price of 50 moolers each. IPO is by Dutch auction (price of unpurchased shares will fall each day until they are all purchased).
Microsoft will acquire a stake of at least 10% of AOL by 27 September 2006.
This prediction will be assessed based on news reports appearing in the New York Times or Washington Post or the Wall Street Journal on or before 28 September 2006.
This prediction may close earlier if the event occurs and is reported to the moderators.
IPO Information
200 shares of this prediction (symbol: MSFT-AOL-2006) are available for purchase at an initial price of 50 moolers each. IPO is by Dutch auction (price of unpurchased shares will fall each day until they are all purchased).
Indian politician Lalu Prasad Yadav has been chargesheeted again. He will be sent to jail (again), by 30 June 2006. For this prediction to be valid, and return 100 moolers per share, Lalu must physically enter a prison. The prediction will still be considered valid if he is subsequently released.
The prediction will be judged based on reports appearing in the Indian Express newspaper on or before 1 July 2006. The prediction may close earlier if the event occurs and is reported to the moderators.
IPO Information
200 shares of this prediction (symbol: LALU-JAILED-2006) are available for purchase at an initial price of 50 moolers each. IPO is by Dutch auction (price of unpurchased shares will fall each day until they are all purchased).
The BSE Sensitive Index (Sensex), which is currently at an all time high of 8526 on 28 Sep 2005, will close at or above 10000 before Jan 31st, 2006.
The BSE website or the Financial Express reports (appearing on 1 Feb 2006) will be used to assess this prediction.
This prediction may be closed earlier if it occurs and is brought to the notice of the moderators.
IPO Information
200 shares of this prediction (symbol: BSE-SENSEX-10K) are available for purchase at an initial price of 50 moolers each. IPO is by Dutch auction (price of unpurchased shares will fall each day until they are all purchased).