Considering the ongoing casualties in Iraq and general mood among the US populace after Katrina and Rita, it is likely that the Americans will decide to pull out of Iraq by the end of 2006. Currently there are 149,000 US troops in Iraq. Either decision to completely pull out of iraq or station less than 10,00 troops will be considered as a positive outcome of this prediction. Similarly, a decision to pull out and not the starting of a formal pullout process is enough to validate this prediction.
This prediction will be assessed based on the reports carried on BBC News (TV broadcast or online). This prediction can be closed earlier should it occur and is reported to the moderators.
100 shares of this prediction [symbol: US-IRAQ-51] are available for purchase on the PublicGyan exchange at an initial price of 60 moolers each, following Dutch rules.
Is the prediction true if there will be 1000 troops or 10,000 US troops in Iraq? 10,00 doesn’t make sense. Please clarify.
Iraq near civil war – Is it avoidable?
I have been hearing a lot on the news about Iraq nearing a civil war, and that it's only a few days away. Do you think there is still time to stop the inevitable? Or is it too late already?