Latest PublicGyan Predictions

Prediction: Height of Burj Dubai

Sun, 27 May 2007 23:27:02 -0500

The Burj Dubai is a skyscraper currently under construction in the "New Downtown" of Dubai, United Arab Emirates whose final height is kept a secret.

This scaled prediction will pay (height-800)/2, where "height" is the height in meters of the antenna/spire of Burj Dubai as of Dec 31, 2008.

If the height is greater than 1000 meters, the claim will return 100 Moolers and a height less than 800 meters would return 0 Moolers. The claim may be judged earlier if the tower is finished and occupied before the arbitration deadline.

More Info:

In February 2007, the Burj Dubai surpassed the Sears Tower as the building with the most floors in the world. As of 20 May 2007 the tower's height was 460.1 meters (1,510 feet), with 129 floors.(source)

The projected final height of the Burj Dubai is officially being kept a secret due to competition; however, figures released by a contractor on the project have suggested a height of around 808 metres (2,651 feet).Based on this height, the total number of habitable floors is expected to be around 162. However, on the project's official website, an interior graphic of an elevator panel shows floor numbers up to 195. (source)

Prediction: US attacks Iran by end of 2008

Sun, 27 May 2007 23:04:40 -0500

This claim states that the US forces would attacks Iran on the order of the President of USA.

A event like a rogue general ordering a military attack without prior authorization from the U.S. President is not enough to judge this claim as true.

In the event ambiguity, moderators will base their judgment on the intent of the claim. The claim can be judged earlier if the event happens before the arbitration deadline.

Prediction: Congress Wins 2008 Delhi Assembly Elections

Sun, 05 Feb 2006 03:19:24 -0600

This prediction states that Indian National Congress will secure a simple majority in the capital again, in the next Assembly elections in 2008 (or sooner, if the assembly assembly elections are held earlier).

The arbitration date can be extended if the election results are not know by that time. Similarly, the prediction can be closed earlier if the election results are know earlier and this is brought to the notice of the moderators.

Prediction: 2008 Presidential Elections: Democratic Presidential Nominee Will be John Edward

Thu, 01 Dec 2005 02:36:03 -0600

This prediction states that John Edwards, the former Senator from North Carolina and running mate of John Kerry will win the nomination of the Democratic Party to run for President of United States.

The prediction will return false if he is not nominated. The decision will be based on reports appearing in The New York Times.

In case the nomination process takes more time to yield a result, the arbitration date will be extended as needed. If the event occurs before the arbitration date, if can be closed earlier, if brough to the notice of the moderators.

Prediction: George W. Bush resigns or is impeached

Wed, 30 Nov 2005 23:44:32 -0600

This prediction states that before the arbitration date either a simple majority of the US House of Representatives will vote to impeach Mr. George W. Bush or he will resign from office. Note that it is not necessary for the Senate to convict Mr. Bush for this claim to be true. Online reports carried by CNN and BBC websites will be used as the basis for judging the claim.

Background: George W. Bush is the 43rd President of the United States. He was sworn into office on January 20, 2001, re-elected on November 2, 2004, and sworn in for a second term on January 20, 2005. However his approval ratings have been nose-diving for some time now. Questions are being asked about the conduct of several of his administration's key officials. The war on Iraq, Supreme Court nomination debacle etc. have added to the problems facing George W. Bush.

A slightly old, but still relevant article explaning the impeachment procedure can be found at the BBC website.

Prediction: Elections 09: BJP-led alliance form Central government

Wed, 19 Oct 2005 18:12:47 -0500

A BJP-led alliance will form the Central government after the next general election scheduled for May 2009.

The prediction will be considered TRUE even if the general elections are held earlier than 2009 and the BJP-led alliance comes into power at the Centre.

This prediction will be considered FALSE if the BJP-led alliance were to come to power during the term of the current Lok Sabha. In other words, the prediction will be considered false if the BJP-led alliance comes to power before general elections.

This prediction will be assessed using news reports appearing in The Indian Express before the arbitration date. It may close earlier if the event occurs and is reported to the moderators.

Prediction: Ballistic Missiles: India will testfire an ICBM by end-2008

Wed, 19 Oct 2005 18:04:01 -0500

India will test an inter-continental ballistic missile (with a minimum range of 8000 kms) before 31 Dec 2008.

News reports appearing in The Indian Express will be used to assess this prediction. It may be closed earlier if it occurs and is reported to the moderators.

Prediction: Kashmir: LoC becomes official border by 2020

Sat, 08 Oct 2005 14:06:10 -0500

The Line of Control between India and Pakistan running through the pre-partition pricely state of Jammu & Kashmir will be formally recognised as the international border between India and Pakistan by 31 Dec 2020.

Any territorial exchange, act of secession or the continuation of the status quo prevailing on 10 Oct 2005 will render this prediction FALSE.

Assessment will be based on the official position of the governments of India and Pakistan, using official government websites of India, Pakistan and the United States as an authoritative basis.

Prediction: Musharraf: Will step down by March 2008

Sat, 08 Oct 2005 13:57:57 -0500

General Pervez Musharraf will step down (forcibly, or on his own) as President of Pakistan by 31 March 2008. This prediction will be considered TRUE even if he is forced out of office by internal revolution or external coercion. This prediction will be considered FALSE even if he contests an election before this date and retains his office as President.

Assessment will be based on reports appearing on BBC Online. This prediction may be closed earlier if it occurs and is reported to the moderators.

Prediction: F1: An Indian will win a race by 2010

Mon, 03 Oct 2005 11:45:28 -0500

An Indian driver will win a Formula One race by 2010. For this prediction to be true, an Indian national has to win at least one race in any season before the end of 2010. Each share of this prediction will return 100 moolers if, and only if, this event occurs.

All other outcomes, including the folding up of Formula One racing before 31 Dec 2010 without throwing up a Indian winner, the share will return zero.

Prediction will be assessed based on reports appearing in the Indian Express on or before 31 Dec 2010. This prediction can be closed earlier should it occur and is reported to the moderators.